Trader consensus on a "blue tsunami"—defined as massive Democratic gains like 30+ House seats and Senate control—prices No at 59% amid modest generic ballot leads favoring Democrats by 6-7 points in May polls from Ipsos, YouGov, and Nate Silver's D+6.1 average as of May 14. Low Trump approval ratings, underwater by 25 points per ABC-Washington Post, record 38 Republican House retirements, and Democratic overperformance in special elections signal midterm headwinds for the president's party, echoing 2006 dynamics highlighted in recent analysis. However, GOP advantages from redistricting in battleground states and a Senate map with competitive races in Georgia, Texas, Michigan, and North Carolina cap expectations for tsunami-level flips, with House control odds closer to a standard shift. Primaries starting soon could alter momentum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$27,572 Vol.
$27,572 Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
$27,572 Vol.
$27,572 Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfTrader consensus on a "blue tsunami"—defined as massive Democratic gains like 30+ House seats and Senate control—prices No at 59% amid modest generic ballot leads favoring Democrats by 6-7 points in May polls from Ipsos, YouGov, and Nate Silver's D+6.1 average as of May 14. Low Trump approval ratings, underwater by 25 points per ABC-Washington Post, record 38 Republican House retirements, and Democratic overperformance in special elections signal midterm headwinds for the president's party, echoing 2006 dynamics highlighted in recent analysis. However, GOP advantages from redistricting in battleground states and a Senate map with competitive races in Georgia, Texas, Michigan, and North Carolina cap expectations for tsunami-level flips, with House control odds closer to a standard shift. Primaries starting soon could alter momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$27,572শেষ তারিখ
Nov 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfTrader consensus on a "blue tsunami"—defined as massive Democratic gains like 30+ House seats and Senate control—prices No at 59% amid modest generic ballot leads favoring Democrats by 6-7 points in May polls from Ipsos, YouGov, and Nate Silver's D+6.1 average as of May 14. Low Trump approval ratings, underwater by 25 points per ABC-Washington Post, record 38 Republican House retirements, and Democratic overperformance in special elections signal midterm headwinds for the president's party, echoing 2006 dynamics highlighted in recent analysis. However, GOP advantages from redistricting in battleground states and a Senate map with competitive races in Georgia, Texas, Michigan, and North Carolina cap expectations for tsunami-level flips, with House control odds closer to a standard shift. Primaries starting soon could alter momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
ভলিউম
$27,572শেষ তারিখ
Nov 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a "blue tsunami"—defined as massive Democratic gains like 30+ House seats and Senate control—prices No at 59% amid modest generic ballot leads favoring Democrats by 6-7 points in May polls from Ipsos, YouGov, and Nate Silver's D+6.1 average as of May 14. Low Trump approval ratings, underwater by 25 points per ABC-Washington Post, record 38 Republican House retirements, and Democratic overperformance in special elections signal midterm headwinds for the president's party, echoing 2006 dynamics highlighted in recent analysis. However, GOP advantages from redistricting in battleground states and a Senate map with competitive races in Georgia, Texas, Michigan, and North Carolina cap expectations for tsunami-level flips, with House control odds closer to a standard shift. Primaries starting soon could alter momentum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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