In California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, trader consensus strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) to advance, driven by a fragmented Republican field of six candidates splitting conservative votes in the Democratic-leaning district redrawn via mid-decade redistricting. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show the Democrats dominating fundraising—Jones at $3.25 million raised from tech and finance networks, Thompson with $2.56 million cash on hand from institutional donors—far exceeding GOP totals. A May 7 analysis highlights this financial edge amid early voting underway since May 4, with no public polls but Thompson's party endorsement reinforcing his incumbency advantage.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$29,559 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
Trevor Merrell
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$29,559 Vol.
Mike Thompson
$7,192 Vol.
98%
Eric Jones
$4,825 Vol.
90%
Heath Fulkerson
$396 Vol.
11%
John Wesley Tyler
$873 Vol.
9%
Trevor Merrell
$9,635 Vol.
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 Vol.
5%
Sharon Brown
$3,402 Vol.
2%
Mandy Ghusar
$2,525 Vol.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, trader consensus strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) to advance, driven by a fragmented Republican field of six candidates splitting conservative votes in the Democratic-leaning district redrawn via mid-decade redistricting. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show the Democrats dominating fundraising—Jones at $3.25 million raised from tech and finance networks, Thompson with $2.56 million cash on hand from institutional donors—far exceeding GOP totals. A May 7 analysis highlights this financial edge amid early voting underway since May 4, with no public polls but Thompson's party endorsement reinforcing his incumbency advantage.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$29,559শেষ তারিখ
Jun 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, trader consensus strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) to advance, driven by a fragmented Republican field of six candidates splitting conservative votes in the Democratic-leaning district redrawn via mid-decade redistricting. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show the Democrats dominating fundraising—Jones at $3.25 million raised from tech and finance networks, Thompson with $2.56 million cash on hand from institutional donors—far exceeding GOP totals. A May 7 analysis highlights this financial edge amid early voting underway since May 4, with no public polls but Thompson's party endorsement reinforcing his incumbency advantage.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$29,559শেষ তারিখ
Jun 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, trader consensus strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) to advance, driven by a fragmented Republican field of six candidates splitting conservative votes in the Democratic-leaning district redrawn via mid-decade redistricting. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show the Democrats dominating fundraising—Jones at $3.25 million raised from tech and finance networks, Thompson with $2.56 million cash on hand from institutional donors—far exceeding GOP totals. A May 7 analysis highlights this financial edge amid early voting underway since May 4, with no public polls but Thompson's party endorsement reinforcing his incumbency advantage.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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