Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92.5% to retain Connecticut's 4th congressional district House seat, driven by incumbent Jim Himes' eight-term record, overwhelming fundraising advantage with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of April 2026, and the district's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index reflecting consistent 59-62% Democratic general election margins since 2020. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with Republican primary contenders Michael Goldstein, Daniel Miressi, and Luz Bueno filing but holding minimal funds under $40,000 combined. Scenarios to challenge this include a late high-profile GOP recruit before the June 9 filing deadline, Himes' withdrawal or scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave, ahead of August 11 primaries and the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$31,182 Vol.
$31,182 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$31,182 Vol.
$31,182 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,407 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$17,775 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92.5% to retain Connecticut's 4th congressional district House seat, driven by incumbent Jim Himes' eight-term record, overwhelming fundraising advantage with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of April 2026, and the district's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index reflecting consistent 59-62% Democratic general election margins since 2020. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with Republican primary contenders Michael Goldstein, Daniel Miressi, and Luz Bueno filing but holding minimal funds under $40,000 combined. Scenarios to challenge this include a late high-profile GOP recruit before the June 9 filing deadline, Himes' withdrawal or scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave, ahead of August 11 primaries and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$31,182শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92.5% to retain Connecticut's 4th congressional district House seat, driven by incumbent Jim Himes' eight-term record, overwhelming fundraising advantage with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of April 2026, and the district's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index reflecting consistent 59-62% Democratic general election margins since 2020. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with Republican primary contenders Michael Goldstein, Daniel Miressi, and Luz Bueno filing but holding minimal funds under $40,000 combined. Scenarios to challenge this include a late high-profile GOP recruit before the June 9 filing deadline, Himes' withdrawal or scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave, ahead of August 11 primaries and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$31,182শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92.5% to retain Connecticut's 4th congressional district House seat, driven by incumbent Jim Himes' eight-term record, overwhelming fundraising advantage with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of April 2026, and the district's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index reflecting consistent 59-62% Democratic general election margins since 2020. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with Republican primary contenders Michael Goldstein, Daniel Miressi, and Luz Bueno filing but holding minimal funds under $40,000 combined. Scenarios to challenge this include a late high-profile GOP recruit before the June 9 filing deadline, Himes' withdrawal or scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave, ahead of August 11 primaries and the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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