Elon Musk’s established weekly posting cadence on X has anchored trader sentiment around the 160-179 tweet range for August 11–18, now carrying a 57.5% implied probability. His typical output of 20–30 posts daily—spanning SpaceX and Tesla updates, platform commentary, and real-time cultural reactions—has produced consistent mid-160 totals in recent weeks absent major spikes. With the window nearly closed and no late-breaking controversies or high-profile launches shifting momentum, the adjacent 180-199 bucket at 29.5% captures upside potential from any final-day surge while the lower 140-159 option at 10.1% reflects downside from quieter periods. Traders weigh his historical averages against the absence of extraordinary events to price these narrow bands.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড160-179 59%
180-199 30%
140-159 9.4%
200-219 3.5%
$1,793,824 Vol.
$1,793,824 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
140-159
9%
160-179
59%
180-199
30%
200-219
4%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 59%
180-199 30%
140-159 9.4%
200-219 3.5%
$1,793,824 Vol.
$1,793,824 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
140-159
$259,205 Vol.
9%
160-179
$154,217 Vol.
59%
180-199
$116,081 Vol.
30%
200-219
$106,025 Vol.
4%
220-239
$94,641 Vol.
1%
240-259
$116,884 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$100,584 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$91,008 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$83,049 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$43,368 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$42,323 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established weekly posting cadence on X has anchored trader sentiment around the 160-179 tweet range for August 11–18, now carrying a 57.5% implied probability. His typical output of 20–30 posts daily—spanning SpaceX and Tesla updates, platform commentary, and real-time cultural reactions—has produced consistent mid-160 totals in recent weeks absent major spikes. With the window nearly closed and no late-breaking controversies or high-profile launches shifting momentum, the adjacent 180-199 bucket at 29.5% captures upside potential from any final-day surge while the lower 140-159 option at 10.1% reflects downside from quieter periods. Traders weigh his historical averages against the absence of extraordinary events to price these narrow bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,793,824শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established weekly posting cadence on X has anchored trader sentiment around the 160-179 tweet range for August 11–18, now carrying a 57.5% implied probability. His typical output of 20–30 posts daily—spanning SpaceX and Tesla updates, platform commentary, and real-time cultural reactions—has produced consistent mid-160 totals in recent weeks absent major spikes. With the window nearly closed and no late-breaking controversies or high-profile launches shifting momentum, the adjacent 180-199 bucket at 29.5% captures upside potential from any final-day surge while the lower 140-159 option at 10.1% reflects downside from quieter periods. Traders weigh his historical averages against the absence of extraordinary events to price these narrow bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$1,793,824শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established weekly posting cadence on X has anchored trader sentiment around the 160-179 tweet range for August 11–18, now carrying a 57.5% implied probability. His typical output of 20–30 posts daily—spanning SpaceX and Tesla updates, platform commentary, and real-time cultural reactions—has produced consistent mid-160 totals in recent weeks absent major spikes. With the window nearly closed and no late-breaking controversies or high-profile launches shifting momentum, the adjacent 180-199 bucket at 29.5% captures upside potential from any final-day surge while the lower 140-159 option at 10.1% reflects downside from quieter periods. Traders weigh his historical averages against the absence of extraordinary events to price these narrow bands.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা