Recent daily posting rates for Elon Musk have stabilized around 20-28 posts, directly underpinning the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-219 tweet range for the August 18-25 window. Multiple Starlink launches scheduled across the period, alongside ongoing SpaceX and Tesla updates, represent the main near-term catalysts likely to sustain or modestly elevate activity without triggering the extreme spikes seen in prior high-news cycles. The evenly matched buckets reflect traders' recognition that routine business commentary can easily shift totals by 20-40 posts depending on launch outcomes and real-time reactions, while the lack of major political or personal developments keeps the distribution centered on historical averages rather than outliers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড180-199 20%
160-179 19%
200-219 18%
140-159 17%
$43,086 Vol.
$43,086 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
17%
160-179
19%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
10%
240-259
10%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
160-179 19%
200-219 18%
140-159 17%
$43,086 Vol.
$43,086 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
17%
160-179
19%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
10%
240-259
10%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent daily posting rates for Elon Musk have stabilized around 20-28 posts, directly underpinning the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-219 tweet range for the August 18-25 window. Multiple Starlink launches scheduled across the period, alongside ongoing SpaceX and Tesla updates, represent the main near-term catalysts likely to sustain or modestly elevate activity without triggering the extreme spikes seen in prior high-news cycles. The evenly matched buckets reflect traders' recognition that routine business commentary can easily shift totals by 20-40 posts depending on launch outcomes and real-time reactions, while the lack of major political or personal developments keeps the distribution centered on historical averages rather than outliers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা