Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high near 99°F for Austin on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with a modest afternoon thunderstorm chance and southeasterly winds. Persistent high pressure and Gulf moisture sustain above-normal temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of 92.6°F, while elevated humidity elevates heat indices toward 105–107°F. This consensus supports the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 62.5% implied probability, with limited upside to 100°F+ given only slight model spread and minimal intensification signals. Updated guidance later today could refine afternoon peak readings before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on September 9?
98-99°F 63%
96-97°F 20%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 5.0%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
63%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 63%
96-97°F 20%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 5.0%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
63%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high near 99°F for Austin on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with a modest afternoon thunderstorm chance and southeasterly winds. Persistent high pressure and Gulf moisture sustain above-normal temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of 92.6°F, while elevated humidity elevates heat indices toward 105–107°F. This consensus supports the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 62.5% implied probability, with limited upside to 100°F+ given only slight model spread and minimal intensification signals. Updated guidance later today could refine afternoon peak readings before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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