Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Beijing on August 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, expected thundershowers, and seasonal cooling that limits afternoon solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling. This narrow uncertainty band underpins the market-implied probability of 100% for 29°C, reflecting trader consensus grounded in real-time observational data and short-range guidance. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or revisions in official measurements near resolution thresholds, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before the daily high is recorded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$97,363 Vol.
$97,363 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$97,363 Vol.
$97,363 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Beijing on August 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, expected thundershowers, and seasonal cooling that limits afternoon solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling. This narrow uncertainty band underpins the market-implied probability of 100% for 29°C, reflecting trader consensus grounded in real-time observational data and short-range guidance. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or revisions in official measurements near resolution thresholds, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before the daily high is recorded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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