Global seismicity exhibits substantial week-to-week variability driven by tectonic stress release along subduction zones and transform faults, with aftershock sequences from recent M7+ events (such as those recorded in mid-August 2026) capable of elevating counts of M5.5+ quakes. USGS data indicate typical annual rates for M5–5.9 events near 1,500, translating to roughly 25–30 per week on average, though clustering and quiet periods create genuine uncertainty around the 8–13 range. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched leading outcomes of ≤6 (21%) and >13 (19.5%), incorporates this Poisson-like distribution plus any lingering aftershock potential, while upcoming real-time USGS monitoring through the week will refine probabilities as new sequences emerge or fail to materialize.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
≤6 21%
>13 20%
8 13%
9 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 23, 2026
≤6
21%
7
10%
8
13%
9
13%
10
12%
11
10%
12
9%
13
7%
>13
20%
≤6 21%
>13 20%
8 13%
9 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 23, 2026
≤6
$916 Vol.
21%
7
$134 Vol.
10%
8
$196 Vol.
13%
9
$144 Vol.
13%
10
$144 Vol.
12%
11
$134 Vol.
10%
12
$145 Vol.
9%
13
$147 Vol.
7%
>13
$512 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity exhibits substantial week-to-week variability driven by tectonic stress release along subduction zones and transform faults, with aftershock sequences from recent M7+ events (such as those recorded in mid-August 2026) capable of elevating counts of M5.5+ quakes. USGS data indicate typical annual rates for M5–5.9 events near 1,500, translating to roughly 25–30 per week on average, though clustering and quiet periods create genuine uncertainty around the 8–13 range. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched leading outcomes of ≤6 (21%) and >13 (19.5%), incorporates this Poisson-like distribution plus any lingering aftershock potential, while upcoming real-time USGS monitoring through the week will refine probabilities as new sequences emerge or fail to materialize.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,473শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity exhibits substantial week-to-week variability driven by tectonic stress release along subduction zones and transform faults, with aftershock sequences from recent M7+ events (such as those recorded in mid-August 2026) capable of elevating counts of M5.5+ quakes. USGS data indicate typical annual rates for M5–5.9 events near 1,500, translating to roughly 25–30 per week on average, though clustering and quiet periods create genuine uncertainty around the 8–13 range. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched leading outcomes of ≤6 (21%) and >13 (19.5%), incorporates this Poisson-like distribution plus any lingering aftershock potential, while upcoming real-time USGS monitoring through the week will refine probabilities as new sequences emerge or fail to materialize.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ভলিউম
$2,473শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismicity exhibits substantial week-to-week variability driven by tectonic stress release along subduction zones and transform faults, with aftershock sequences from recent M7+ events (such as those recorded in mid-August 2026) capable of elevating counts of M5.5+ quakes. USGS data indicate typical annual rates for M5–5.9 events near 1,500, translating to roughly 25–30 per week on average, though clustering and quiet periods create genuine uncertainty around the 8–13 range. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched leading outcomes of ≤6 (21%) and >13 (19.5%), incorporates this Poisson-like distribution plus any lingering aftershock potential, while upcoming real-time USGS monitoring through the week will refine probabilities as new sequences emerge or fail to materialize.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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