Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Beijing on June 15 most likely near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 32.5% and 22.5% implied probability. Variable cloud cover, moderate humidity, and possible light precipitation are key factors expected to cap peak readings below seasonal heatwave levels, while urban heat-island effects and solar insolation could push values higher if skies clear. Ensemble guidance shows spread across 28–31°C due to uncertainties in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, with lower-probability tails below 27°C or above 32°C reflecting model divergence on timing of any frontal passage. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS later today, plus official CMA briefings, will likely refine the consensus ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 38%
30°C 22%
28°C 20%
31°C 7%
$26,060 Vol.
$26,060 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
20%
29°C
38%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 22%
28°C 20%
31°C 7%
$26,060 Vol.
$26,060 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
20%
29°C
38%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Beijing on June 15 most likely near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 32.5% and 22.5% implied probability. Variable cloud cover, moderate humidity, and possible light precipitation are key factors expected to cap peak readings below seasonal heatwave levels, while urban heat-island effects and solar insolation could push values higher if skies clear. Ensemble guidance shows spread across 28–31°C due to uncertainties in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, with lower-probability tails below 27°C or above 32°C reflecting model divergence on timing of any frontal passage. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS later today, plus official CMA briefings, will likely refine the consensus ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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