Latest forecast guidance from Argentine meteorological services and global models points to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, underpinning the 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions feature reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential cloud cover or light precipitation that can suppress daytime warming below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering around 13–15°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and minimal warm-air advection from the north. Traders weigh these verified consensus forecasts and historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional more heavily than outliers, though final model updates and any shifts in steering winds or rain timing before resolution could still adjust the realized high by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 6?
14°C 46%
13°C 24%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
46%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 46%
13°C 24%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
46%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from Argentine meteorological services and global models points to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, underpinning the 45.5% implied probability for that outcome. Southern Hemisphere winter conditions feature reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and potential cloud cover or light precipitation that can suppress daytime warming below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering around 13–15°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and minimal warm-air advection from the north. Traders weigh these verified consensus forecasts and historical climatology from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional more heavily than outliers, though final model updates and any shifts in steering winds or rain timing before resolution could still adjust the realized high by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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