The near-certain market consensus on 30°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature observation for August 14, 2026, which fell within the 27–31°C forecast range issued that morning. This followed nine consecutive days with maxima of 33°C or higher amid a late-summer heatwave driven by southerly flow and Typhoon Dolphin’s lingering influence. Subsequent showers and increased cloud cover moderated conditions, preventing the extreme readings seen earlier in the month (e.g., 36.9°C on August 9). With resolution imminent and no credible upward revision to the official record expected, traders have converged on the verified 30°C threshold; only an unanticipated measurement correction or alternative station data could alter the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,219 Vol.
$237,219 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,219 Vol.
$237,219 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$4,300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,516 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$47,623 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$52,808 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$48,586 Vol.
100%
31°C
$32,501 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$19,039 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,126 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,681 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,460 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,578 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-certain market consensus on 30°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature observation for August 14, 2026, which fell within the 27–31°C forecast range issued that morning. This followed nine consecutive days with maxima of 33°C or higher amid a late-summer heatwave driven by southerly flow and Typhoon Dolphin’s lingering influence. Subsequent showers and increased cloud cover moderated conditions, preventing the extreme readings seen earlier in the month (e.g., 36.9°C on August 9). With resolution imminent and no credible upward revision to the official record expected, traders have converged on the verified 30°C threshold; only an unanticipated measurement correction or alternative station data could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$237,219শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-certain market consensus on 30°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature observation for August 14, 2026, which fell within the 27–31°C forecast range issued that morning. This followed nine consecutive days with maxima of 33°C or higher amid a late-summer heatwave driven by southerly flow and Typhoon Dolphin’s lingering influence. Subsequent showers and increased cloud cover moderated conditions, preventing the extreme readings seen earlier in the month (e.g., 36.9°C on August 9). With resolution imminent and no credible upward revision to the official record expected, traders have converged on the verified 30°C threshold; only an unanticipated measurement correction or alternative station data could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$237,219শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-certain market consensus on 30°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature observation for August 14, 2026, which fell within the 27–31°C forecast range issued that morning. This followed nine consecutive days with maxima of 33°C or higher amid a late-summer heatwave driven by southerly flow and Typhoon Dolphin’s lingering influence. Subsequent showers and increased cloud cover moderated conditions, preventing the extreme readings seen earlier in the month (e.g., 36.9°C on August 9). With resolution imminent and no credible upward revision to the official record expected, traders have converged on the verified 30°C threshold; only an unanticipated measurement correction or alternative station data could alter the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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