The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 31°C on August 15 drove the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with verified observational data from the agency's headquarters station, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime highs moderated by humidity and regional airflow patterns following earlier typhoon influences. Forecast models from monitoring agencies showed consensus around 30–32°C, and historical August baselines in Hong Kong support this range without extreme heat events. While rare discrepancies in station reporting or post hoc revisions could theoretically alter resolution, the direct measurement and narrow uncertainty in official data make alternative outcomes highly improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
31°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$286,546 Vol.
$286,546 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$286,546 Vol.
$286,546 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$6,020 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$33,529 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$34,910 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$24,534 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$44,342 Vol.
100%
32°C
$46,309 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$38,962 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$29,964 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,084 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,633 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$21,260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 31°C on August 15 drove the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with verified observational data from the agency's headquarters station, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime highs moderated by humidity and regional airflow patterns following earlier typhoon influences. Forecast models from monitoring agencies showed consensus around 30–32°C, and historical August baselines in Hong Kong support this range without extreme heat events. While rare discrepancies in station reporting or post hoc revisions could theoretically alter resolution, the direct measurement and narrow uncertainty in official data make alternative outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$286,546শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 31°C on August 15 drove the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with verified observational data from the agency's headquarters station, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime highs moderated by humidity and regional airflow patterns following earlier typhoon influences. Forecast models from monitoring agencies showed consensus around 30–32°C, and historical August baselines in Hong Kong support this range without extreme heat events. While rare discrepancies in station reporting or post hoc revisions could theoretically alter resolution, the direct measurement and narrow uncertainty in official data make alternative outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$286,546শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 31°C on August 15 drove the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with verified observational data from the agency's headquarters station, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime highs moderated by humidity and regional airflow patterns following earlier typhoon influences. Forecast models from monitoring agencies showed consensus around 30–32°C, and historical August baselines in Hong Kong support this range without extreme heat events. While rare discrepancies in station reporting or post hoc revisions could theoretically alter resolution, the direct measurement and narrow uncertainty in official data make alternative outcomes highly improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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