**Current forecasts position 32°C as the most likely peak temperature in Karachi on August 15, 2026, with 31–33°C capturing the bulk of market-implied probability.** Monsoon-season moisture from the Arabian Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers noted in recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks, is limiting daytime heating while the coastal sea breeze provides additional moderation. Model guidance, including ECMWF runs, shows daytime maxima clustering near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) under these conditions, consistent with Karachi’s August climatology of average highs around 32°C. Recent days have seen similar readings with patchy rain nearby, keeping surface temperatures from spiking higher. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and official guidance over any potential clearing that could allow brief warming to 33°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect the low historical frequency of outliers this late in the monsoon. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Karachi observatory on August 15.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Karachi on August 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 15?
32°C 53%
33°C 27%
31°C 18%
30°C 4%
নতুন
$11,587 Vol.
নতুন
$11,587 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
53%
33°C
27%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 27%
31°C 18%
30°C 4%
নতুন
$11,587 Vol.
নতুন
$11,587 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$793 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,432 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,100 Vol.
18%
32°C
$3,670 Vol.
53%
33°C
$2,188 Vol.
27%
34°C
$548 Vol.
2%
35°C
$359 Vol.
1%
36°C
$644 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 32°C as the most likely peak temperature in Karachi on August 15, 2026, with 31–33°C capturing the bulk of market-implied probability.** Monsoon-season moisture from the Arabian Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers noted in recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks, is limiting daytime heating while the coastal sea breeze provides additional moderation. Model guidance, including ECMWF runs, shows daytime maxima clustering near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) under these conditions, consistent with Karachi’s August climatology of average highs around 32°C. Recent days have seen similar readings with patchy rain nearby, keeping surface temperatures from spiking higher. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and official guidance over any potential clearing that could allow brief warming to 33°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect the low historical frequency of outliers this late in the monsoon. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Karachi observatory on August 15.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ভলিউম
$11,587শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 32°C as the most likely peak temperature in Karachi on August 15, 2026, with 31–33°C capturing the bulk of market-implied probability.** Monsoon-season moisture from the Arabian Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers noted in recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks, is limiting daytime heating while the coastal sea breeze provides additional moderation. Model guidance, including ECMWF runs, shows daytime maxima clustering near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) under these conditions, consistent with Karachi’s August climatology of average highs around 32°C. Recent days have seen similar readings with patchy rain nearby, keeping surface temperatures from spiking higher. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and official guidance over any potential clearing that could allow brief warming to 33°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect the low historical frequency of outliers this late in the monsoon. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Karachi observatory on August 15.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$11,587শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts position 32°C as the most likely peak temperature in Karachi on August 15, 2026, with 31–33°C capturing the bulk of market-implied probability.** Monsoon-season moisture from the Arabian Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers noted in recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks, is limiting daytime heating while the coastal sea breeze provides additional moderation. Model guidance, including ECMWF runs, shows daytime maxima clustering near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) under these conditions, consistent with Karachi’s August climatology of average highs around 32°C. Recent days have seen similar readings with patchy rain nearby, keeping surface temperatures from spiking higher. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and official guidance over any potential clearing that could allow brief warming to 33°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect the low historical frequency of outliers this late in the monsoon. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Karachi observatory on August 15.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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