Recent ensemble model guidance points to a cool winter day in Cape Town with highs likely near the seasonal average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s concentration around 18–19°C outcomes. Key variables include the timing and intensity of any approaching Atlantic cold front or upper trough, which could enhance onshore flow and suppress maximum temperatures, versus building high pressure that favors clearer skies and greater daytime warming. South-easterly winds, cloud cover, and local topography further modulate heating rates. With only two days until resolution, traders weigh the latest South African Weather Service guidance and global model runs against historical August variability, where daily highs typically range 15–20°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 16?
19°C 35%
18°C 25%
20°C 14%
17°C 13%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
25%
19°C
35%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 25%
20°C 14%
17°C 13%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
25%
19°C
35%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble model guidance points to a cool winter day in Cape Town with highs likely near the seasonal average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s concentration around 18–19°C outcomes. Key variables include the timing and intensity of any approaching Atlantic cold front or upper trough, which could enhance onshore flow and suppress maximum temperatures, versus building high pressure that favors clearer skies and greater daytime warming. South-easterly winds, cloud cover, and local topography further modulate heating rates. With only two days until resolution, traders weigh the latest South African Weather Service guidance and global model runs against historical August variability, where daily highs typically range 15–20°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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