Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 18 high centers on ensemble forecasts showing peak readings near 25–26°C, driven by the ongoing rainy season, high-altitude effects at roughly 2,240 meters, and urban heat retention. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects model uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and humidity, which can cap daytime warming by 1–2°C despite morning insolation. Historical August climatology places typical maxima around 24°C, with recent guidance indicating modest positive anomalies from reduced early-day precipitation. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with traders monitoring the latest GFS and ECMWF runs for shifts in steering flow or thunderstorm timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 18?
26°C 41%
25°C 35%
24°C 12%
27°C 11%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
35%
26°C
41%
27°C
11%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 35%
24°C 12%
27°C 11%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
35%
26°C
41%
27°C
11%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 18 high centers on ensemble forecasts showing peak readings near 25–26°C, driven by the ongoing rainy season, high-altitude effects at roughly 2,240 meters, and urban heat retention. The narrow spread between these two leading outcomes reflects model uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and humidity, which can cap daytime warming by 1–2°C despite morning insolation. Historical August climatology places typical maxima around 24°C, with recent guidance indicating modest positive anomalies from reduced early-day precipitation. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with traders monitoring the latest GFS and ECMWF runs for shifts in steering flow or thunderstorm timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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