Recent high-pressure ridging and clear-sky conditions over western Europe have driven the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs toward maximum temperatures of 27–29 °C in Paris on June 15, producing the tight market clustering around 28 °C (40.5 %) and 29 °C (32.5 %). Daytime warming will depend on net shortwave radiation, boundary-layer mixing under light winds, and modest warm advection from the south; small differences in predicted cloud fraction or dew-point depression can shift the peak by 1 °C. Ensemble spread remains several degrees wide because of uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic moisture return, keeping lower (26–27 °C) and higher (30 °C+) outcomes in play until the final model cycles before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 41%
29°C 32%
27°C 18%
26°C 7%
$17,983 Vol.
$17,983 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
18%
28°C
41%
29°C
32%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 32%
27°C 18%
26°C 7%
$17,983 Vol.
$17,983 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
18%
28°C
41%
29°C
32%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure ridging and clear-sky conditions over western Europe have driven the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs toward maximum temperatures of 27–29 °C in Paris on June 15, producing the tight market clustering around 28 °C (40.5 %) and 29 °C (32.5 %). Daytime warming will depend on net shortwave radiation, boundary-layer mixing under light winds, and modest warm advection from the south; small differences in predicted cloud fraction or dew-point depression can shift the peak by 1 °C. Ensemble spread remains several degrees wide because of uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic moisture return, keeping lower (26–27 °C) and higher (30 °C+) outcomes in play until the final model cycles before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা