**Trader sentiment for Taipei's June 15 highest temperature centers on an official Central Weather Administration forecast of 25–29°C amid expected thundershowers and overcast skies.** This places 29°C as the narrow leader (27.3% implied probability), followed closely by 28°C (20.5%) and 30°C (17.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the predicted maximum. June climatology supports higher potential peaks near 31–33°C under clear conditions, but persistent cloud cover and convective activity limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation. Recent heavy rain advisories and frontal influences across northern Taiwan have sustained this pattern, with model consensus favoring afternoon showers that typically peak before the daily high is reached. Uncertainty in shower timing and intensity creates the narrow spread between 28–30°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ or below 27°C align with the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Official updates from the CWA and short-range model runs will be the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
29°C 27.8%
28°C 21%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
12%
28°C
21%
29°C
28%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
14%
29°C 27.8%
28°C 21%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
12%
28°C
21%
29°C
28%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Taipei's June 15 highest temperature centers on an official Central Weather Administration forecast of 25–29°C amid expected thundershowers and overcast skies.** This places 29°C as the narrow leader (27.3% implied probability), followed closely by 28°C (20.5%) and 30°C (17.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the predicted maximum. June climatology supports higher potential peaks near 31–33°C under clear conditions, but persistent cloud cover and convective activity limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation. Recent heavy rain advisories and frontal influences across northern Taiwan have sustained this pattern, with model consensus favoring afternoon showers that typically peak before the daily high is reached. Uncertainty in shower timing and intensity creates the narrow spread between 28–30°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ or below 27°C align with the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Official updates from the CWA and short-range model runs will be the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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