Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under clear skies, light westerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer heating. This positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 68.5% implied probability, with 32°C at 22.5% reflecting minor downside variance from sea-breeze effects and 34°C at 9% capturing any model spread or slight intensification. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, while stable high-pressure conditions and absence of recent heatwave signals or model shifts support the tight clustering around these values ahead of final observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
33°C 69%
32°C 22%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$28,280 Vol.
$28,280 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
22%
33°C
69%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
32°C 22%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$28,280 Vol.
$28,280 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
22%
33°C
69%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under clear skies, light westerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer heating. This positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 68.5% implied probability, with 32°C at 22.5% reflecting minor downside variance from sea-breeze effects and 34°C at 9% capturing any model spread or slight intensification. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, while stable high-pressure conditions and absence of recent heatwave signals or model shifts support the tight clustering around these values ahead of final observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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