Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate that a weather system bringing widespread rain and increased cloud cover will suppress maximum temperatures in Tokyo on September 4, shifting conditions from recent 30–33°C highs toward a cooler regime with highs most likely between 25–28°C. Persistent precipitation, northeasterly flow, and reduced insolation are the dominant cooling mechanisms, with total rainfall projections exceeding 30 mm in several guidance runs. Market-implied odds, led by 27°C at 35.5% followed by 26°C and 28°C, align with this consensus while reflecting remaining uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of showers, which could allow brief warmer intervals if rain arrives later in the day. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
27°C 36%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
29°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
22%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 36%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
29°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
1%
23°C
$311 Vol.
1%
24°C
$638 Vol.
4%
25°C
$425 Vol.
8%
26°C
$2,234 Vol.
22%
27°C
$173 Vol.
36%
28°C
$353 Vol.
22%
29°C
$112 Vol.
9%
30°C
$64 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$165 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate that a weather system bringing widespread rain and increased cloud cover will suppress maximum temperatures in Tokyo on September 4, shifting conditions from recent 30–33°C highs toward a cooler regime with highs most likely between 25–28°C. Persistent precipitation, northeasterly flow, and reduced insolation are the dominant cooling mechanisms, with total rainfall projections exceeding 30 mm in several guidance runs. Market-implied odds, led by 27°C at 35.5% followed by 26°C and 28°C, align with this consensus while reflecting remaining uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of showers, which could allow brief warmer intervals if rain arrives later in the day. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,495শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate that a weather system bringing widespread rain and increased cloud cover will suppress maximum temperatures in Tokyo on September 4, shifting conditions from recent 30–33°C highs toward a cooler regime with highs most likely between 25–28°C. Persistent precipitation, northeasterly flow, and reduced insolation are the dominant cooling mechanisms, with total rainfall projections exceeding 30 mm in several guidance runs. Market-implied odds, led by 27°C at 35.5% followed by 26°C and 28°C, align with this consensus while reflecting remaining uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of showers, which could allow brief warmer intervals if rain arrives later in the day. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$4,495শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate that a weather system bringing widespread rain and increased cloud cover will suppress maximum temperatures in Tokyo on September 4, shifting conditions from recent 30–33°C highs toward a cooler regime with highs most likely between 25–28°C. Persistent precipitation, northeasterly flow, and reduced insolation are the dominant cooling mechanisms, with total rainfall projections exceeding 30 mm in several guidance runs. Market-implied odds, led by 27°C at 35.5% followed by 26°C and 28°C, align with this consensus while reflecting remaining uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of showers, which could allow brief warmer intervals if rain arrives later in the day. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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