Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models place Wellington's August 20 maximum near 12–13 °C, aligning with the near-even market split and seasonal norms of 12 °C. Persistent southerly flows and a passing frontal system are expected to limit daytime warming, while recent above-average temperatures from subtropical influences have kept trader sentiment balanced rather than favoring cooler outcomes. Key variables include exact frontal timing and wind strength, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C; updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 20?
12°C 52%
13°C 41%
11°C 7%
14°C 5%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
52%
13°C
41%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 52%
13°C 41%
11°C 7%
14°C 5%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
52%
13°C
41%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models place Wellington's August 20 maximum near 12–13 °C, aligning with the near-even market split and seasonal norms of 12 °C. Persistent southerly flows and a passing frontal system are expected to limit daytime warming, while recent above-average temperatures from subtropical influences have kept trader sentiment balanced rather than favoring cooler outcomes. Key variables include exact frontal timing and wind strength, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C; updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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