Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 14°C (41.5%) and 15°C (40.0%) for Wellington Airport's highest temperature on May 14, driven by MetService's latest forecast of 13-14°C amid persistent southerly winds ushering cool post-frontal air after May 13's showers and strong gusts. High pressure building over the South Island promises mainly fine conditions with isolated morning showers clearing by afternoon, but variable cloud cover and coastal cooling could cap peaks near climatological May averages of 14°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread (13-15°C), with differentiation hinging on exact shower timing and afternoon insolation; final hourly observations from NIWA or MetService will resolve amid inherent short-range forecast variability.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
14°C 62%
15°C 32%
16°C 5.5%
13°C 2.5%
$18,234 Vol.
$18,234 Vol.
13°C
3%
14°C
62%
15°C
32%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 62%
15°C 32%
16°C 5.5%
13°C 2.5%
$18,234 Vol.
$18,234 Vol.
13°C
3%
14°C
62%
15°C
32%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 14°C (41.5%) and 15°C (40.0%) for Wellington Airport's highest temperature on May 14, driven by MetService's latest forecast of 13-14°C amid persistent southerly winds ushering cool post-frontal air after May 13's showers and strong gusts. High pressure building over the South Island promises mainly fine conditions with isolated morning showers clearing by afternoon, but variable cloud cover and coastal cooling could cap peaks near climatological May averages of 14°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread (13-15°C), with differentiation hinging on exact shower timing and afternoon insolation; final hourly observations from NIWA or MetService will resolve amid inherent short-range forecast variability.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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