Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have hovered near 4.5 percent amid resilient economic growth, persistent core inflation near 3 percent, and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent through its latest meetings, with markets pricing limited further easing as labor market data remains steady. Elevated term premiums and supply pressures have capped downside moves, keeping yields above levels seen in prior easing cycles. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release and June FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether inflation momentum or growth slowdowns allow yields to test lower before 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$214,768 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
40%
3.8%
30%
3.7%
20%
3.6%
24%
3.5%
29%
3.0%
13%
2.0%
10%
1.0%
4%
$214,768 Vol.
3.9%
$40,687 Vol.
40%
3.8%
$39,358 Vol.
30%
3.7%
$26,365 Vol.
20%
3.6%
$4,730 Vol.
24%
3.5%
$31,523 Vol.
29%
3.0%
$446 Vol.
13%
2.0%
$341 Vol.
10%
1.0%
$39,559 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have hovered near 4.5 percent amid resilient economic growth, persistent core inflation near 3 percent, and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent through its latest meetings, with markets pricing limited further easing as labor market data remains steady. Elevated term premiums and supply pressures have capped downside moves, keeping yields above levels seen in prior easing cycles. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release and June FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether inflation momentum or growth slowdowns allow yields to test lower before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$214,768শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have hovered near 4.5 percent amid resilient economic growth, persistent core inflation near 3 percent, and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent through its latest meetings, with markets pricing limited further easing as labor market data remains steady. Elevated term premiums and supply pressures have capped downside moves, keeping yields above levels seen in prior easing cycles. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release and June FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether inflation momentum or growth slowdowns allow yields to test lower before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ভলিউম
$214,768শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have hovered near 4.5 percent amid resilient economic growth, persistent core inflation near 3 percent, and heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent through its latest meetings, with markets pricing limited further easing as labor market data remains steady. Elevated term premiums and supply pressures have capped downside moves, keeping yields above levels seen in prior easing cycles. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release and June FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether inflation momentum or growth slowdowns allow yields to test lower before 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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