Global background seismicity rates, tracked continuously by the USGS, drive the closely matched market probabilities around 7–9 events, reflecting typical weekly variability for magnitude 5.5+ quakes amid roughly 1,900 magnitude 5+ occurrences annually worldwide. As of August 12, four days into the resolution window, ongoing detections in tectonically active zones such as the Pacific Ring of Fire align with historical norms rather than clusters or aftershock sequences that could elevate totals. Traders weigh model-independent Poisson-like fluctuations against any emerging signals from fault systems, with resolution hinging on final USGS-verified counts through August 16 and no major forecast shifts anticipated absent new seismic data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
≤6 23.0%
7 14.7%
8 14%
9 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 9, 2026
≤6
23%
7
15%
8
14%
9
13%
10
11%
11
9%
12
8%
13
6%
>13
9%
≤6 23.0%
7 14.7%
8 14%
9 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 9, 2026
≤6
$3,476 Vol.
23%
7
$291 Vol.
15%
8
$55 Vol.
14%
9
$67 Vol.
13%
10
$101 Vol.
11%
11
$50 Vol.
9%
12
$65 Vol.
8%
13
$21 Vol.
6%
>13
$3,791 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global background seismicity rates, tracked continuously by the USGS, drive the closely matched market probabilities around 7–9 events, reflecting typical weekly variability for magnitude 5.5+ quakes amid roughly 1,900 magnitude 5+ occurrences annually worldwide. As of August 12, four days into the resolution window, ongoing detections in tectonically active zones such as the Pacific Ring of Fire align with historical norms rather than clusters or aftershock sequences that could elevate totals. Traders weigh model-independent Poisson-like fluctuations against any emerging signals from fault systems, with resolution hinging on final USGS-verified counts through August 16 and no major forecast shifts anticipated absent new seismic data.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,918শেষ তারিখ
Aug 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global background seismicity rates, tracked continuously by the USGS, drive the closely matched market probabilities around 7–9 events, reflecting typical weekly variability for magnitude 5.5+ quakes amid roughly 1,900 magnitude 5+ occurrences annually worldwide. As of August 12, four days into the resolution window, ongoing detections in tectonically active zones such as the Pacific Ring of Fire align with historical norms rather than clusters or aftershock sequences that could elevate totals. Traders weigh model-independent Poisson-like fluctuations against any emerging signals from fault systems, with resolution hinging on final USGS-verified counts through August 16 and no major forecast shifts anticipated absent new seismic data.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ভলিউম
$7,918শেষ তারিখ
Aug 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global background seismicity rates, tracked continuously by the USGS, drive the closely matched market probabilities around 7–9 events, reflecting typical weekly variability for magnitude 5.5+ quakes amid roughly 1,900 magnitude 5+ occurrences annually worldwide. As of August 12, four days into the resolution window, ongoing detections in tectonically active zones such as the Pacific Ring of Fire align with historical norms rather than clusters or aftershock sequences that could elevate totals. Traders weigh model-independent Poisson-like fluctuations against any emerging signals from fault systems, with resolution hinging on final USGS-verified counts through August 16 and no major forecast shifts anticipated absent new seismic data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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