Goldman Sachs holds an 80.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI's IPO due to its dominant position in major technology listings, including the recent SpaceX deal, and its established advisory role alongside Morgan Stanley on OpenAI's confidential S-1 preparations. Traders view the bank’s deep relationships with AI firms, execution track record in high-profile offerings, and competitive edge in securing the prized “lead left” slot as decisive factors over rivals. Morgan Stanley’s 10% share reflects its co-bookrunner status but trails amid Goldman’s momentum, while smaller allocations for banks like UBS and Bank of America align with expected syndicate roles rather than leadership. Potential delays into 2027 amid market volatility remain the main swing factor for these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 81%
Morgan Stanley 16%
UBS 1.9%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 Vol.
$42,650 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Goldman Sachs
81%
Morgan Stanley
16%
UBS
2%
Bank of America
1%
JPMorgan
1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 81%
Morgan Stanley 16%
UBS 1.9%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 Vol.
$42,650 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Goldman Sachs
$7,177 Vol.
81%
Morgan Stanley
$8,024 Vol.
16%
UBS
$3,354 Vol.
2%
Bank of America
$2,356 Vol.
1%
JPMorgan
$3,802 Vol.
1%
Wells Fargo
$3,108 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$2,522 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$3,392 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$8,915 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 80.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI's IPO due to its dominant position in major technology listings, including the recent SpaceX deal, and its established advisory role alongside Morgan Stanley on OpenAI's confidential S-1 preparations. Traders view the bank’s deep relationships with AI firms, execution track record in high-profile offerings, and competitive edge in securing the prized “lead left” slot as decisive factors over rivals. Morgan Stanley’s 10% share reflects its co-bookrunner status but trails amid Goldman’s momentum, while smaller allocations for banks like UBS and Bank of America align with expected syndicate roles rather than leadership. Potential delays into 2027 amid market volatility remain the main swing factor for these odds.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
ভলিউম
$42,650শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 80.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI's IPO due to its dominant position in major technology listings, including the recent SpaceX deal, and its established advisory role alongside Morgan Stanley on OpenAI's confidential S-1 preparations. Traders view the bank’s deep relationships with AI firms, execution track record in high-profile offerings, and competitive edge in securing the prized “lead left” slot as decisive factors over rivals. Morgan Stanley’s 10% share reflects its co-bookrunner status but trails amid Goldman’s momentum, while smaller allocations for banks like UBS and Bank of America align with expected syndicate roles rather than leadership. Potential delays into 2027 amid market volatility remain the main swing factor for these odds.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$42,650শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds an 80.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI's IPO due to its dominant position in major technology listings, including the recent SpaceX deal, and its established advisory role alongside Morgan Stanley on OpenAI's confidential S-1 preparations. Traders view the bank’s deep relationships with AI firms, execution track record in high-profile offerings, and competitive edge in securing the prized “lead left” slot as decisive factors over rivals. Morgan Stanley’s 10% share reflects its co-bookrunner status but trails amid Goldman’s momentum, while smaller allocations for banks like UBS and Bank of America align with expected syndicate roles rather than leadership. Potential delays into 2027 amid market volatility remain the main swing factor for these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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