**Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover, rain, and southerly flow are positioning 17°C and 16°C as the clear leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 29, 2026.** Official and model forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and GFS-based products show nighttime lows holding near 16–18°C (roughly 61–65°F), with limited radiative cooling under overcast skies and widespread showers. Southerly winds advect milder maritime air while high humidity and precipitation maintain a stable boundary layer, preventing the sharper drops typical of clearer, calmer nights. This aligns with August 2026 running about 1.6°C above the long-term monthly normal so far, keeping recent daily minima elevated compared with the 1991–2020 average low of 12.5°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with probabilities collapsing below 14°C as the warm, moist pattern makes such values unlikely without a rapid, unexpected shift in steering flow or clearing. Resolution will depend on the final 24-hour minimum recorded at authoritative stations such as Schiphol; any late-evening model update or unexpected break in clouds could still nudge the exact value within the narrow 16–17°C range favored by traders.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
17°C 94%
12°C or below 11%
14°C 5%
15°C 4%
$10,063 Vol.
$10,063 Vol.
12°C or below
11%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16°C
49%
17°C
80%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 94%
12°C or below 11%
14°C 5%
15°C 4%
$10,063 Vol.
$10,063 Vol.
12°C or below
11%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16°C
49%
17°C
80%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover, rain, and southerly flow are positioning 17°C and 16°C as the clear leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 29, 2026.** Official and model forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and GFS-based products show nighttime lows holding near 16–18°C (roughly 61–65°F), with limited radiative cooling under overcast skies and widespread showers. Southerly winds advect milder maritime air while high humidity and precipitation maintain a stable boundary layer, preventing the sharper drops typical of clearer, calmer nights. This aligns with August 2026 running about 1.6°C above the long-term monthly normal so far, keeping recent daily minima elevated compared with the 1991–2020 average low of 12.5°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with probabilities collapsing below 14°C as the warm, moist pattern makes such values unlikely without a rapid, unexpected shift in steering flow or clearing. Resolution will depend on the final 24-hour minimum recorded at authoritative stations such as Schiphol; any late-evening model update or unexpected break in clouds could still nudge the exact value within the narrow 16–17°C range favored by traders.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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