Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear night over Beijing on September 12–13, 2026, with light northerly winds, low humidity around 30–50%, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 15–16°C. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds create the close probabilities across 15–18°C bins, while the 21°C+ share reflects residual uncertainty if daytime heat lingers longer. Historical September minima average near 15°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with resolution depending on the precise hourly low reported by official stations. Updated CMA guidance and overnight observations will refine trader positioning before the market closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
11°C or below 50%
21°C or higher 50%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
11°C or below
50%
12°C
15%
13°C
16%
14°C
13%
15°C
33%
16°C
30%
17°C
22%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
50%
11°C or below 50%
21°C or higher 50%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
11°C or below
50%
12°C
15%
13°C
16%
14°C
13%
15°C
33%
16°C
30%
17°C
22%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear night over Beijing on September 12–13, 2026, with light northerly winds, low humidity around 30–50%, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 15–16°C. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds create the close probabilities across 15–18°C bins, while the 21°C+ share reflects residual uncertainty if daytime heat lingers longer. Historical September minima average near 15°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with resolution depending on the precise hourly low reported by official stations. Updated CMA guidance and overnight observations will refine trader positioning before the market closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা