**Forecast uncertainty over Chicago's overnight low on September 12 drives the near-even market split between sub-58°F (40.0%) and 76°F-plus (39.5%) outcomes.** Official guidance from NWS and model consensus points to a mild night with lows in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwest-to-northwest winds, favoring bins around 64–67°F. However, variable cloud cover can sharply alter radiative cooling rates, while shifts in steering flow or frontal timing introduce divergence among ensemble members. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, yet short-term model spreads—especially on humidity and boundary-layer mixing—keep extreme tails competitive as traders weigh potential for stronger cooling or warmer advection. Updated model runs and evening observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
57°F or below 70%
76°F or higher 70%
60-61°F 39%
62-63°F 39%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
70%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
9%
76°F or higher
70%
57°F or below 70%
76°F or higher 70%
60-61°F 39%
62-63°F 39%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Vol.
70%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
13%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
29%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
9%
76°F or higher
$0 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty over Chicago's overnight low on September 12 drives the near-even market split between sub-58°F (40.0%) and 76°F-plus (39.5%) outcomes.** Official guidance from NWS and model consensus points to a mild night with lows in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwest-to-northwest winds, favoring bins around 64–67°F. However, variable cloud cover can sharply alter radiative cooling rates, while shifts in steering flow or frontal timing introduce divergence among ensemble members. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, yet short-term model spreads—especially on humidity and boundary-layer mixing—keep extreme tails competitive as traders weigh potential for stronger cooling or warmer advection. Updated model runs and evening observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty over Chicago's overnight low on September 12 drives the near-even market split between sub-58°F (40.0%) and 76°F-plus (39.5%) outcomes.** Official guidance from NWS and model consensus points to a mild night with lows in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwest-to-northwest winds, favoring bins around 64–67°F. However, variable cloud cover can sharply alter radiative cooling rates, while shifts in steering flow or frontal timing introduce divergence among ensemble members. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, yet short-term model spreads—especially on humidity and boundary-layer mixing—keep extreme tails competitive as traders weigh potential for stronger cooling or warmer advection. Updated model runs and evening observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty over Chicago's overnight low on September 12 drives the near-even market split between sub-58°F (40.0%) and 76°F-plus (39.5%) outcomes.** Official guidance from NWS and model consensus points to a mild night with lows in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwest-to-northwest winds, favoring bins around 64–67°F. However, variable cloud cover can sharply alter radiative cooling rates, while shifts in steering flow or frontal timing introduce divergence among ensemble members. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, yet short-term model spreads—especially on humidity and boundary-layer mixing—keep extreme tails competitive as traders weigh potential for stronger cooling or warmer advection. Updated model runs and evening observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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