Weather models and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory converged on a minimum temperature of 26°C for June 12, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover anomalies that would depress readings. Historical baselines for the period show overnight lows rarely deviating more than 1–2°C from this value absent unusual synoptic patterns, supporting the market-implied 99.8% consensus for exactly 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range forecasts and the low likelihood of measurement-site variations or model bias. A late-arriving frontal system or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift the recorded low by 1°C, though such developments remain improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
26°C 99.8%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,932 Vol.
$42,932 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,932 Vol.
$42,932 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
21°C or below
$848 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$944 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,444 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,932 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,758 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$21,873 Vol.
100%
27°C
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$908 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather models and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory converged on a minimum temperature of 26°C for June 12, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover anomalies that would depress readings. Historical baselines for the period show overnight lows rarely deviating more than 1–2°C from this value absent unusual synoptic patterns, supporting the market-implied 99.8% consensus for exactly 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range forecasts and the low likelihood of measurement-site variations or model bias. A late-arriving frontal system or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift the recorded low by 1°C, though such developments remain improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$42,932শেষ তারিখ
Jun 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather models and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory converged on a minimum temperature of 26°C for June 12, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover anomalies that would depress readings. Historical baselines for the period show overnight lows rarely deviating more than 1–2°C from this value absent unusual synoptic patterns, supporting the market-implied 99.8% consensus for exactly 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range forecasts and the low likelihood of measurement-site variations or model bias. A late-arriving frontal system or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift the recorded low by 1°C, though such developments remain improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$42,932শেষ তারিখ
Jun 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather models and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory converged on a minimum temperature of 26°C for June 12, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover anomalies that would depress readings. Historical baselines for the period show overnight lows rarely deviating more than 1–2°C from this value absent unusual synoptic patterns, supporting the market-implied 99.8% consensus for exactly 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range forecasts and the low likelihood of measurement-site variations or model bias. A late-arriving frontal system or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift the recorded low by 1°C, though such developments remain improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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