Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 15, 2026, project minimum temperatures of 26–27 °C under mostly cloudy skies with widespread thunderstorms and heavy showers, which suppress both daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling. Multi-model consensus and seasonal baselines for early summer in the region align closely with these values, as persistent moisture and cloud cover moderate diurnal ranges around the typical June average low near 27 °C. Trader positioning reflects this guidance, concentrating implied probabilities on 25–27 °C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes that would require atypical clear skies or stronger monsoon influences. Updated model runs and any shifts in rain timing before midnight on the 15th remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
26°C 47%
25°C 27%
27°C 24%
28°C 6.7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
38%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 27%
27°C 24%
28°C 6.7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
38%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 15, 2026, project minimum temperatures of 26–27 °C under mostly cloudy skies with widespread thunderstorms and heavy showers, which suppress both daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling. Multi-model consensus and seasonal baselines for early summer in the region align closely with these values, as persistent moisture and cloud cover moderate diurnal ranges around the typical June average low near 27 °C. Trader positioning reflects this guidance, concentrating implied probabilities on 25–27 °C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes that would require atypical clear skies or stronger monsoon influences. Updated model runs and any shifts in rain timing before midnight on the 15th remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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