**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, reflecting near-unanimous forecast alignment.** Current Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models project overnight lows near 26°C under humid subtropical conditions, with northeasterly winds, high humidity around 90%, and cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This matches typical early-June climatology, where average minima hover between 26–28°C amid above-normal seasonal temperatures. The market-implied 99.8% probability on 26°C captures this tight consensus from official monitoring. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly air or localized station-specific readings deviating from the urban network, though no such signals appear in the latest model runs or observational data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
26°C 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$75,687 Vol.
$75,687 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$75,687 Vol.
$75,687 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, reflecting near-unanimous forecast alignment.** Current Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models project overnight lows near 26°C under humid subtropical conditions, with northeasterly winds, high humidity around 90%, and cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This matches typical early-June climatology, where average minima hover between 26–28°C amid above-normal seasonal temperatures. The market-implied 99.8% probability on 26°C captures this tight consensus from official monitoring. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly air or localized station-specific readings deviating from the urban network, though no such signals appear in the latest model runs or observational data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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