Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a minimum of 26°C on September 10 amid northeast winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore, and only isolated showers. Recent model consensus and observational trends show overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C after several days of slightly elevated readings, reflecting modest advection of cooler air that has reduced morning temperatures without triggering widespread cooling. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, cloud cover timing, and shower placement introduce narrow uncertainty around the exact minimum, keeping the 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied at 39.5% and 46.5% implied probability. Updated HKO guidance and fresh numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
26°C 47%
25°C 40%
24°C 9%
27°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
40%
26°C
47%
27°C
8%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 40%
24°C 9%
27°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
$172 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$216 Vol.
1%
23°C
$432 Vol.
3%
24°C
$551 Vol.
9%
25°C
$1,210 Vol.
40%
26°C
$2,016 Vol.
47%
27°C
$413 Vol.
8%
28°C
$470 Vol.
1%
29°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a minimum of 26°C on September 10 amid northeast winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore, and only isolated showers. Recent model consensus and observational trends show overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C after several days of slightly elevated readings, reflecting modest advection of cooler air that has reduced morning temperatures without triggering widespread cooling. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, cloud cover timing, and shower placement introduce narrow uncertainty around the exact minimum, keeping the 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied at 39.5% and 46.5% implied probability. Updated HKO guidance and fresh numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$5,788শেষ তারিখ
Sep 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a minimum of 26°C on September 10 amid northeast winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore, and only isolated showers. Recent model consensus and observational trends show overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C after several days of slightly elevated readings, reflecting modest advection of cooler air that has reduced morning temperatures without triggering widespread cooling. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, cloud cover timing, and shower placement introduce narrow uncertainty around the exact minimum, keeping the 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied at 39.5% and 46.5% implied probability. Updated HKO guidance and fresh numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$5,788শেষ তারিখ
Sep 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a minimum of 26°C on September 10 amid northeast winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore, and only isolated showers. Recent model consensus and observational trends show overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C after several days of slightly elevated readings, reflecting modest advection of cooler air that has reduced morning temperatures without triggering widespread cooling. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, cloud cover timing, and shower placement introduce narrow uncertainty around the exact minimum, keeping the 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied at 39.5% and 46.5% implied probability. Updated HKO guidance and fresh numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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