Forecast models from sources including GFS and European agencies indicate clear skies and northeast winds will drive overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on September 10 near 11–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability for 11°C or below, as current runs show morning lows around 12°C after a 9 September frontal passage. Historical September averages near 16°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while model consensus on light winds and low humidity supports limited warming before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
11°C or below 60%
12°C 23%
21°C or higher 20%
17°C 16%
11°C or below
60%
12°C
23%
13°C
12%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
20%
11°C or below 60%
12°C 23%
21°C or higher 20%
17°C 16%
11°C or below
60%
12°C
23%
13°C
12%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and European agencies indicate clear skies and northeast winds will drive overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on September 10 near 11–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability for 11°C or below, as current runs show morning lows around 12°C after a 9 September frontal passage. Historical September averages near 16°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while model consensus on light winds and low humidity supports limited warming before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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