Current short-range ensemble forecasts from European and U.S. meteorological agencies show Madrid's September 9 overnight minimum centered near 18–19 °C, with the spread across model runs producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–20 °C. Key variables include the degree of clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any residual moisture from an approaching Atlantic trough that could limit temperature drops. Historical September minima in central Spain average near 15–17 °C, yet recent model consensus favors slightly milder conditions, keeping lower outcomes such as 16 °C or below at low implied odds. Updated guidance from the Spanish meteorological service and ECMWF runs expected later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
19°C 50%
20°C 41%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
33%
20°C
24%
21°C
12%
22°C
9%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
19°C 50%
20°C 41%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
33%
20°C
24%
21°C
12%
22°C
9%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from European and U.S. meteorological agencies show Madrid's September 9 overnight minimum centered near 18–19 °C, with the spread across model runs producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–20 °C. Key variables include the degree of clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any residual moisture from an approaching Atlantic trough that could limit temperature drops. Historical September minima in central Spain average near 15–17 °C, yet recent model consensus favors slightly milder conditions, keeping lower outcomes such as 16 °C or below at low implied odds. Updated guidance from the Spanish meteorological service and ECMWF runs expected later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা