Southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity and associated cloud cover currently anchor trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature, with model consensus and PAGASA guidance pointing to overnight lows clustered tightly around 25–27°C. Persistent southwesterly flow sustains high humidity and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight, while historical August baselines near 25°C provide context for the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Traders differentiate the closely matched probabilities by assessing potential for brief clear intervals allowing a dip toward 24–25°C versus sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and official station data from the resolution period represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on August 26?
30°C 50%
31°C or higher 30%
27°C 29%
25°C 29%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C
17%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
22%
29°C
22%
30°C
50%
31°C or higher
30%
30°C 50%
31°C or higher 30%
27°C 29%
25°C 29%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C
17%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
22%
29°C
22%
30°C
50%
31°C or higher
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity and associated cloud cover currently anchor trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature, with model consensus and PAGASA guidance pointing to overnight lows clustered tightly around 25–27°C. Persistent southwesterly flow sustains high humidity and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight, while historical August baselines near 25°C provide context for the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Traders differentiate the closely matched probabilities by assessing potential for brief clear intervals allowing a dip toward 24–25°C versus sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and official station data from the resolution period represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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