Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and global ensembles points to an overnight low near 15–17°C for Toronto on August 26, driven by northwest flow, dew points near 14–15°C, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. This range aligns closely with late-August climatology and explains the tight market clustering, with 16°C holding the highest implied probability. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud cover, sustained wind speeds above 15–20 km/h, and any weak frontal passage that could either enhance mixing or allow brief clearer periods. Traders weigh these factors against typical model spread at short range, producing the observed spread across 14–19°C buckets. Updated runs overnight will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Toronto on August 26?
9°C or below 65%
16°C 35%
19°C or higher 35%
17°C 27%
9°C or below
65%
10°C
20%
11°C
6%
12°C
20%
13°C
24%
14°C
23%
15°C
26%
16°C
35%
17°C
27%
18°C
21%
19°C or higher
35%
9°C or below 65%
16°C 35%
19°C or higher 35%
17°C 27%
9°C or below
65%
10°C
20%
11°C
6%
12°C
20%
13°C
24%
14°C
23%
15°C
26%
16°C
35%
17°C
27%
18°C
21%
19°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and global ensembles points to an overnight low near 15–17°C for Toronto on August 26, driven by northwest flow, dew points near 14–15°C, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. This range aligns closely with late-August climatology and explains the tight market clustering, with 16°C holding the highest implied probability. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud cover, sustained wind speeds above 15–20 km/h, and any weak frontal passage that could either enhance mixing or allow brief clearer periods. Traders weigh these factors against typical model spread at short range, producing the observed spread across 14–19°C buckets. Updated runs overnight will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা