Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a southerly flow shifting southeastward ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, delivering cloud cover, showers, and a modest influx of cooler maritime air that caps Moscow's overnight minimum near 12–14°C on September 22. This transitional pattern, following warmer daytime highs around 19–21°C on the 20th–21st, creates tight uncertainty between scenarios where radiational cooling under partial clearing allows a dip toward or below 11°C versus sustained cloudiness and southeasterly winds holding the low above 13°C. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and ensemble spreads highlight the key variables of precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with fresh model updates expected within 24 hours that could sharpen resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Trader-implied odds near 46% for 17°C or higher versus 45% for 7°C or below reflect this genuine forecast dispersion rather than any single dominant signal.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
7°C or below 89%
17°C or higher 85%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C or below
89%
8°C
18%
9°C
19%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
28%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
85%
7°C or below 89%
17°C or higher 85%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C or below
89%
8°C
18%
9°C
19%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
28%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a southerly flow shifting southeastward ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, delivering cloud cover, showers, and a modest influx of cooler maritime air that caps Moscow's overnight minimum near 12–14°C on September 22. This transitional pattern, following warmer daytime highs around 19–21°C on the 20th–21st, creates tight uncertainty between scenarios where radiational cooling under partial clearing allows a dip toward or below 11°C versus sustained cloudiness and southeasterly winds holding the low above 13°C. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and ensemble spreads highlight the key variables of precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with fresh model updates expected within 24 hours that could sharpen resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Trader-implied odds near 46% for 17°C or higher versus 45% for 7°C or below reflect this genuine forecast dispersion rather than any single dominant signal.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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