Traders assign the highest implied probability (62%) to a 26°C low in Panama City on August 21 because long-term August climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 24–26°C under persistent high humidity and frequent cloud cover during the rainy season. Recent model guidance and observational trends align with this range, reflecting limited diurnal temperature variation in the tropical maritime environment where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by moisture and weak winds. A 25°C outcome holds secondary support at 32.5% as some forecasts indicate slightly cooler boundary-layer conditions possible with heavier rainfall. Lower probabilities for 24°C or below stem from historical rarity of such readings this time of year, while warmer extremes remain negligible given the established seasonal baseline. Updated local observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional monitoring could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Panama City on August 21?
22°C 46%
25°C 33%
24°C 30%
23°C 3%
$4,632 Vol.
$4,632 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
46%
23°C
3%
24°C
30%
25°C
33%
26°C
63%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
25°C 33%
24°C 30%
23°C 3%
$4,632 Vol.
$4,632 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
46%
23°C
3%
24°C
30%
25°C
33%
26°C
63%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (62%) to a 26°C low in Panama City on August 21 because long-term August climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 24–26°C under persistent high humidity and frequent cloud cover during the rainy season. Recent model guidance and observational trends align with this range, reflecting limited diurnal temperature variation in the tropical maritime environment where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by moisture and weak winds. A 25°C outcome holds secondary support at 32.5% as some forecasts indicate slightly cooler boundary-layer conditions possible with heavier rainfall. Lower probabilities for 24°C or below stem from historical rarity of such readings this time of year, while warmer extremes remain negligible given the established seasonal baseline. Updated local observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional monitoring could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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