Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14, 2026, stabilizing near 20°C under persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, aligning closely with climatological June lows of 20–22°C recorded at official stations. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects strong consensus across ensemble runs and real-time observations, with only narrow uncertainty in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded. A sudden break in cloud cover allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could push the reading to 19°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$58,503 Vol.
$58,503 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$58,503 Vol.
$58,503 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14, 2026, stabilizing near 20°C under persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, aligning closely with climatological June lows of 20–22°C recorded at official stations. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects strong consensus across ensemble runs and real-time observations, with only narrow uncertainty in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded. A sudden break in cloud cover allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could push the reading to 19°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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