**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv overnight into the early morning of August 30, 2026.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome at 25°C (43.5% implied probability) and supports nearby probabilities for 24°C (26.5%) and 26°C (25%). The Israel Meteorological Service and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate overnight temperatures will fall from evening levels near 28–29°C to a low around dawn, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. A rare August rain system approaching from the Mediterranean is introducing increased cloud cover and light showers, which modestly limit nighttime cooling compared to clear conditions but keep readings above seasonal norms. Historical climatology for late August places average overnight lows near 24°C, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures are sustaining slightly warmer minima. Higher-probability outcomes cluster tightly around 24–26°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread in the overnight period. The 20°C-or-below bucket (27.5%) remains plausible only under stronger-than-expected clearing and advection, while 30°C+ for the daily low (27%) is inconsistent with observed trends. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
20°C or below 50%
24°C 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
20°C or below
50%
21°C
10%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
44%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
50%
20°C or below 50%
24°C 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
20°C or below
50%
21°C
10%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
44%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv overnight into the early morning of August 30, 2026.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome at 25°C (43.5% implied probability) and supports nearby probabilities for 24°C (26.5%) and 26°C (25%). The Israel Meteorological Service and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate overnight temperatures will fall from evening levels near 28–29°C to a low around dawn, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. A rare August rain system approaching from the Mediterranean is introducing increased cloud cover and light showers, which modestly limit nighttime cooling compared to clear conditions but keep readings above seasonal norms. Historical climatology for late August places average overnight lows near 24°C, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures are sustaining slightly warmer minima. Higher-probability outcomes cluster tightly around 24–26°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread in the overnight period. The 20°C-or-below bucket (27.5%) remains plausible only under stronger-than-expected clearing and advection, while 30°C+ for the daily low (27%) is inconsistent with observed trends. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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