**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 13–16°C because official forecasts for Warsaw’s overnight minimum on 29 August 2026 converge on that narrow band, with only modest differences among numerical weather prediction models.** Late-summer radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–4 m/s) allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, yet residual daytime heat and moderate humidity limit how far the mercury falls. Multiple sources project a low near 14°C, with some ensembles showing 13–15°C depending on exact timing of any thin cloud patches or slight variations in dew-point depression. Historical August climatology for Warsaw (average minimum ~15°C) provides context, but day-to-day fluctuations from steering patterns and local urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the leading outcomes while discounting colder (<12°C) or warmer (>17°C) results, which would require either stronger cold advection or persistent cloud cover that current model consensus does not support. Newer high-resolution runs or real-time observations from the Warsaw station will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
13°C 46%
15°C 45%
16°C 42%
14°C 21%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
46%
14°C
21%
15°C
45%
16°C
42%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
13°C 46%
15°C 45%
16°C 42%
14°C 21%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$267 Vol.
1%
12°C
$27 Vol.
4%
13°C
$16 Vol.
46%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
42%
17°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 13–16°C because official forecasts for Warsaw’s overnight minimum on 29 August 2026 converge on that narrow band, with only modest differences among numerical weather prediction models.**
Late-summer radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–4 m/s) allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, yet residual daytime heat and moderate humidity limit how far the mercury falls. Multiple sources project a low near 14°C, with some ensembles showing 13–15°C depending on exact timing of any thin cloud patches or slight variations in dew-point depression. Historical August climatology for Warsaw (average minimum ~15°C) provides context, but day-to-day fluctuations from steering patterns and local urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty.
Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the leading outcomes while discounting colder (<12°C) or warmer (>17°C) results, which would require either stronger cold advection or persistent cloud cover that current model consensus does not support. Newer high-resolution runs or real-time observations from the Warsaw station will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$879শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 13–16°C because official forecasts for Warsaw’s overnight minimum on 29 August 2026 converge on that narrow band, with only modest differences among numerical weather prediction models.**
Late-summer radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–4 m/s) allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, yet residual daytime heat and moderate humidity limit how far the mercury falls. Multiple sources project a low near 14°C, with some ensembles showing 13–15°C depending on exact timing of any thin cloud patches or slight variations in dew-point depression. Historical August climatology for Warsaw (average minimum ~15°C) provides context, but day-to-day fluctuations from steering patterns and local urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty.
Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the leading outcomes while discounting colder (<12°C) or warmer (>17°C) results, which would require either stronger cold advection or persistent cloud cover that current model consensus does not support. Newer high-resolution runs or real-time observations from the Warsaw station will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$879শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 13–16°C because official forecasts for Warsaw’s overnight minimum on 29 August 2026 converge on that narrow band, with only modest differences among numerical weather prediction models.** Late-summer radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–4 m/s) allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, yet residual daytime heat and moderate humidity limit how far the mercury falls. Multiple sources project a low near 14°C, with some ensembles showing 13–15°C depending on exact timing of any thin cloud patches or slight variations in dew-point depression. Historical August climatology for Warsaw (average minimum ~15°C) provides context, but day-to-day fluctuations from steering patterns and local urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the leading outcomes while discounting colder (<12°C) or warmer (>17°C) results, which would require either stronger cold advection or persistent cloud cover that current model consensus does not support. Newer high-resolution runs or real-time observations from the Warsaw station will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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