Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models places Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 21 near 6–8 °C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 5–7 °C because small differences in wind speed, cloud cover, and frontal timing can shift the realized low by 1–2 °C. Northerly flow ahead of an approaching southerly change promotes mixing that limits radiative cooling, while any brief clear spell after midnight could allow temperatures to dip toward the 5 °C threshold; conversely, stronger winds or earlier cloud increase would hold readings closer to 7 °C. Sea-surface temperatures around 12–13 °C continue to moderate the air mass, and historical September minima average near 7 °C, providing a baseline against which current model spreads are being weighed. Updated runs overnight will refine the exact timing of the wind shift and any showers that could alter the minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
5°C 87%
6°C 87%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
87%
6°C
87%
7°C
-
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
5°C 87%
6°C 87%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
87%
6°C
87%
7°C
-
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models places Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 21 near 6–8 °C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 5–7 °C because small differences in wind speed, cloud cover, and frontal timing can shift the realized low by 1–2 °C. Northerly flow ahead of an approaching southerly change promotes mixing that limits radiative cooling, while any brief clear spell after midnight could allow temperatures to dip toward the 5 °C threshold; conversely, stronger winds or earlier cloud increase would hold readings closer to 7 °C. Sea-surface temperatures around 12–13 °C continue to moderate the air mass, and historical September minima average near 7 °C, providing a baseline against which current model spreads are being weighed. Updated runs overnight will refine the exact timing of the wind shift and any showers that could alter the minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা