The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 features Labour's Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, as the clear frontrunner in a traditionally safe seat following the resignation of the previous Labour MP. Trader consensus assigns an 82% probability to Reform UK's Robert Kenyon finishing second, reflecting his status as the leading local challenger with strong appeal on immigration and cost-of-living concerns amid Reform's recent regional momentum. Recent candidate debates have underscored Kenyon's constituency roots against Burnham's national profile, while smaller parties trail far behind. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in similar northern English by-elections where opposition votes consolidate behind one main alternative.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRobert Kenyon 84%
Andy Burnham 8.2%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$56,354 Vol.
$56,354 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
84%
Andy Burnham
8%
Rebecca Shepherd
6%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 84%
Andy Burnham 8.2%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$56,354 Vol.
$56,354 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
$4,401 Vol.
84%
Andy Burnham
$2,687 Vol.
8%
Rebecca Shepherd
$45,062 Vol.
6%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,369 Vol.
<1%
John Skipworth
$1,074 Vol.
<1%
Maria Deery
$740 Vol.
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,021 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 features Labour's Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, as the clear frontrunner in a traditionally safe seat following the resignation of the previous Labour MP. Trader consensus assigns an 82% probability to Reform UK's Robert Kenyon finishing second, reflecting his status as the leading local challenger with strong appeal on immigration and cost-of-living concerns amid Reform's recent regional momentum. Recent candidate debates have underscored Kenyon's constituency roots against Burnham's national profile, while smaller parties trail far behind. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in similar northern English by-elections where opposition votes consolidate behind one main alternative.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
ভলিউম
$56,354শেষ তারিখ
Jun 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 features Labour's Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, as the clear frontrunner in a traditionally safe seat following the resignation of the previous Labour MP. Trader consensus assigns an 82% probability to Reform UK's Robert Kenyon finishing second, reflecting his status as the leading local challenger with strong appeal on immigration and cost-of-living concerns amid Reform's recent regional momentum. Recent candidate debates have underscored Kenyon's constituency roots against Burnham's national profile, while smaller parties trail far behind. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in similar northern English by-elections where opposition votes consolidate behind one main alternative.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ভলিউম
$56,354শেষ তারিখ
Jun 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 features Labour's Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, as the clear frontrunner in a traditionally safe seat following the resignation of the previous Labour MP. Trader consensus assigns an 82% probability to Reform UK's Robert Kenyon finishing second, reflecting his status as the leading local challenger with strong appeal on immigration and cost-of-living concerns amid Reform's recent regional momentum. Recent candidate debates have underscored Kenyon's constituency roots against Burnham's national profile, while smaller parties trail far behind. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in similar northern English by-elections where opposition votes consolidate behind one main alternative.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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