Recent Survation polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election shows Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, behind Labour and Reform UK. The new party, launched earlier this year by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, faces competition for right-leaning voters amid public clashes between the groups over vote splitting. Lowe’s internal canvassing claims of higher support have not aligned with independent surveys of roughly 500 respondents. With the contest days away and Restore Britain contesting its first parliamentary seat, the polling trajectory and limited time for momentum shifts underpin trader consensus that the party is unlikely to clear 10%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 18, 2026
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 18, 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent Survation polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election shows Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, behind Labour and Reform UK. The new party, launched earlier this year by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, faces competition for right-leaning voters amid public clashes between the groups over vote splitting. Lowe’s internal canvassing claims of higher support have not aligned with independent surveys of roughly 500 respondents. With the contest days away and Restore Britain contesting its first parliamentary seat, the polling trajectory and limited time for momentum shifts underpin trader consensus that the party is unlikely to clear 10%.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,963শেষ তারিখ
Jun 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent Survation polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election shows Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, behind Labour and Reform UK. The new party, launched earlier this year by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, faces competition for right-leaning voters amid public clashes between the groups over vote splitting. Lowe’s internal canvassing claims of higher support have not aligned with independent surveys of roughly 500 respondents. With the contest days away and Restore Britain contesting its first parliamentary seat, the polling trajectory and limited time for momentum shifts underpin trader consensus that the party is unlikely to clear 10%.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ভলিউম
$3,963শেষ তারিখ
Jun 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Survation polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election shows Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, behind Labour and Reform UK. The new party, launched earlier this year by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, faces competition for right-leaning voters amid public clashes between the groups over vote splitting. Lowe’s internal canvassing claims of higher support have not aligned with independent surveys of roughly 500 respondents. With the contest days away and Restore Britain contesting its first parliamentary seat, the polling trajectory and limited time for momentum shifts underpin trader consensus that the party is unlikely to clear 10%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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