The open Senate seat created by Gary Peters’ retirement has drawn a competitive Democratic primary among Mallory McMorrow, Abdul El-Sayed, and Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers holds a clear lead for the Republican nomination. Recent April and May 2026 polls show the Democratic contenders nearly tied or within a few points, with substantial undecided voters, and general-election head-to-heads between Rogers and leading Democrats remaining close. Michigan’s mix of suburban and urban voters, combined with historical turnout patterns in midterm cycles, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 74.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. The August 4 primary and subsequent general-election developments will determine whether these early indicators hold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$113,316 Vol.
$113,316 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
75%
Republican
27%
$113,316 Vol.
$113,316 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$81,766 Vol.
75%
Republican
$31,550 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Senate seat created by Gary Peters’ retirement has drawn a competitive Democratic primary among Mallory McMorrow, Abdul El-Sayed, and Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers holds a clear lead for the Republican nomination. Recent April and May 2026 polls show the Democratic contenders nearly tied or within a few points, with substantial undecided voters, and general-election head-to-heads between Rogers and leading Democrats remaining close. Michigan’s mix of suburban and urban voters, combined with historical turnout patterns in midterm cycles, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 74.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. The August 4 primary and subsequent general-election developments will determine whether these early indicators hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$113,316শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Senate seat created by Gary Peters’ retirement has drawn a competitive Democratic primary among Mallory McMorrow, Abdul El-Sayed, and Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers holds a clear lead for the Republican nomination. Recent April and May 2026 polls show the Democratic contenders nearly tied or within a few points, with substantial undecided voters, and general-election head-to-heads between Rogers and leading Democrats remaining close. Michigan’s mix of suburban and urban voters, combined with historical turnout patterns in midterm cycles, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 74.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. The August 4 primary and subsequent general-election developments will determine whether these early indicators hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$113,316শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Senate seat created by Gary Peters’ retirement has drawn a competitive Democratic primary among Mallory McMorrow, Abdul El-Sayed, and Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers holds a clear lead for the Republican nomination. Recent April and May 2026 polls show the Democratic contenders nearly tied or within a few points, with substantial undecided voters, and general-election head-to-heads between Rogers and leading Democrats remaining close. Michigan’s mix of suburban and urban voters, combined with historical turnout patterns in midterm cycles, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 74.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. The August 4 primary and subsequent general-election developments will determine whether these early indicators hold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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