The Minnesota Republican primary for governor, scheduled for August 11, 2026, features a crowded field including Mike Lindell, Lisa Demuth, and Kendall Qualls, with trader attention focused on narrow victory margins. Recent polling shows Lindell and Demuth in a tight contest near 20% support each, boosted by Lindell’s gains after a Trump endorsement last month, while Qualls holds the party endorsement secured after multiple convention rounds. A Farmfest debate days ago highlighted contrasts in experience and style among the frontrunners, underscoring the race’s competitiveness ahead of the vote. These dynamics, combined with the primary’s proximity and multiple declared candidates, support elevated probabilities around minimal margins or alternative outcomes reflecting the fragmented field.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLindell 10–15% 38%
Lindell <5% 38%
Lindell 25%+ 37%
Demuth <5% 37%

Lindell 25%+
37%

Lindell 20–25%
36%

Lindell 15–20%
35%

Lindell 10–15%
38%

Lindell 5–10%
36%

Lindell <5%
38%

Demuth <5%
37%

Demuth 5–10%
35%

Demuth 10%+
32%
Lindell 10–15% 38%
Lindell <5% 38%
Lindell 25%+ 37%
Demuth <5% 37%

Lindell 25%+
37%

Lindell 20–25%
36%

Lindell 15–20%
35%

Lindell 10–15%
38%

Lindell 5–10%
36%

Lindell <5%
38%

Demuth <5%
37%

Demuth 5–10%
35%

Demuth 10%+
32%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minnesota Republican primary for governor, scheduled for August 11, 2026, features a crowded field including Mike Lindell, Lisa Demuth, and Kendall Qualls, with trader attention focused on narrow victory margins. Recent polling shows Lindell and Demuth in a tight contest near 20% support each, boosted by Lindell’s gains after a Trump endorsement last month, while Qualls holds the party endorsement secured after multiple convention rounds. A Farmfest debate days ago highlighted contrasts in experience and style among the frontrunners, underscoring the race’s competitiveness ahead of the vote. These dynamics, combined with the primary’s proximity and multiple declared candidates, support elevated probabilities around minimal margins or alternative outcomes reflecting the fragmented field.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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