Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 58.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by a March 2026 court ruling upholding a new GOP-drawn redistricting map that splits Kansas City, transforming the longtime Democratic stronghold into a Republican-leaning battleground. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver seeks re-election in an uncontested Democratic primary on August 4, while a crowded Republican primary features seven candidates, with Taylor Burks leading fundraising at over $1 million cash on hand as of late March. Absent polling, mixed ratings—Cook and Inside Elections rate it Solid Democratic, Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican—underscore uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, with national midterm trends potentially influencing turnout in this shifted district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
38%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,729 Vol.
63%
Democratic Party
$1,156 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 58.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by a March 2026 court ruling upholding a new GOP-drawn redistricting map that splits Kansas City, transforming the longtime Democratic stronghold into a Republican-leaning battleground. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver seeks re-election in an uncontested Democratic primary on August 4, while a crowded Republican primary features seven candidates, with Taylor Burks leading fundraising at over $1 million cash on hand as of late March. Absent polling, mixed ratings—Cook and Inside Elections rate it Solid Democratic, Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican—underscore uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, with national midterm trends potentially influencing turnout in this shifted district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,885শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 58.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by a March 2026 court ruling upholding a new GOP-drawn redistricting map that splits Kansas City, transforming the longtime Democratic stronghold into a Republican-leaning battleground. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver seeks re-election in an uncontested Democratic primary on August 4, while a crowded Republican primary features seven candidates, with Taylor Burks leading fundraising at over $1 million cash on hand as of late March. Absent polling, mixed ratings—Cook and Inside Elections rate it Solid Democratic, Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican—underscore uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, with national midterm trends potentially influencing turnout in this shifted district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$2,885শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 58.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by a March 2026 court ruling upholding a new GOP-drawn redistricting map that splits Kansas City, transforming the longtime Democratic stronghold into a Republican-leaning battleground. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver seeks re-election in an uncontested Democratic primary on August 4, while a crowded Republican primary features seven candidates, with Taylor Burks leading fundraising at over $1 million cash on hand as of late March. Absent polling, mixed ratings—Cook and Inside Elections rate it Solid Democratic, Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican—underscore uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, with national midterm trends potentially influencing turnout in this shifted district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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