Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's commanding position in the Republican-leaning NJ-02 district drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 69.5%, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, dominant fundraising with $1.35 million cash on hand, and consistent general election wins—58% in 2024 and 59% in 2022 against Democrat Tim Alexander. The district's R+5 partisan voter index, Trump 56%-43% 2024 margin, and GOP registration edge (34% vs. 30% Democrats) reinforce this edge, per Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. A crowded Democratic primary featuring Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder offers no clear frontrunner, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNJ-02 House Election Winner
NJ-02 House Election Winner
$12,533 Vol.
$12,533 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
27%
$12,533 Vol.
$12,533 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,084 Vol.
70%
Democratic Party
$6,449 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's commanding position in the Republican-leaning NJ-02 district drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 69.5%, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, dominant fundraising with $1.35 million cash on hand, and consistent general election wins—58% in 2024 and 59% in 2022 against Democrat Tim Alexander. The district's R+5 partisan voter index, Trump 56%-43% 2024 margin, and GOP registration edge (34% vs. 30% Democrats) reinforce this edge, per Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. A crowded Democratic primary featuring Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder offers no clear frontrunner, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$12,533শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's commanding position in the Republican-leaning NJ-02 district drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 69.5%, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, dominant fundraising with $1.35 million cash on hand, and consistent general election wins—58% in 2024 and 59% in 2022 against Democrat Tim Alexander. The district's R+5 partisan voter index, Trump 56%-43% 2024 margin, and GOP registration edge (34% vs. 30% Democrats) reinforce this edge, per Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. A crowded Democratic primary featuring Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder offers no clear frontrunner, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$12,533শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's commanding position in the Republican-leaning NJ-02 district drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 69.5%, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, dominant fundraising with $1.35 million cash on hand, and consistent general election wins—58% in 2024 and 59% in 2022 against Democrat Tim Alexander. The district's R+5 partisan voter index, Trump 56%-43% 2024 margin, and GOP registration edge (34% vs. 30% Democrats) reinforce this edge, per Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. A crowded Democratic primary featuring Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder offers no clear frontrunner, potentially weakening the eventual nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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