Trader consensus heavily favors former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a May 1-4 Schoen Cooperman poll—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing him ahead 47%-42% among likely voters, within the margin of error. Lander's edge stems from strong progressive endorsements including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and unions like 32BJ SEIU and DC37 AFSCME, leveraging his deep ties in brownstone Brooklyn amid a leftward district shift. Incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman counters with self-funding over $1 million, Gov. Kathy Hochul, and Hakeem Jeffries backing, but polls diverge notably from market pricing. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou register negligible support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBrad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 18%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,942 Vol.
$11,942 Vol.
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
18%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
Brad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 18%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,942 Vol.
$11,942 Vol.
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
18%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a May 1-4 Schoen Cooperman poll—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing him ahead 47%-42% among likely voters, within the margin of error. Lander's edge stems from strong progressive endorsements including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and unions like 32BJ SEIU and DC37 AFSCME, leveraging his deep ties in brownstone Brooklyn amid a leftward district shift. Incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman counters with self-funding over $1 million, Gov. Kathy Hochul, and Hakeem Jeffries backing, but polls diverge notably from market pricing. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou register negligible support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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