Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler faces Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th congressional district, a Hudson Valley swing seat that voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential race. Lawler advanced unopposed through the June 23 Republican primary after winning reelection by a narrow margin in 2024, while Conley prevailed in a crowded Democratic primary. Recent polling shows a tight contest with small leads for either candidate depending on the survey, though prediction-market pricing reflects broader midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party and trader assessment of Conley’s profile as a West Point graduate and national-security veteran. The race remains one of the more competitive House contests heading into November, with outcomes sensitive to turnout, national political conditions, and any late shifts in voter preference.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
33%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,001 Vol.
66%
Republican Party
$5,591 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler faces Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th congressional district, a Hudson Valley swing seat that voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential race. Lawler advanced unopposed through the June 23 Republican primary after winning reelection by a narrow margin in 2024, while Conley prevailed in a crowded Democratic primary. Recent polling shows a tight contest with small leads for either candidate depending on the survey, though prediction-market pricing reflects broader midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party and trader assessment of Conley’s profile as a West Point graduate and national-security veteran. The race remains one of the more competitive House contests heading into November, with outcomes sensitive to turnout, national political conditions, and any late shifts in voter preference.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$9,592শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler faces Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th congressional district, a Hudson Valley swing seat that voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential race. Lawler advanced unopposed through the June 23 Republican primary after winning reelection by a narrow margin in 2024, while Conley prevailed in a crowded Democratic primary. Recent polling shows a tight contest with small leads for either candidate depending on the survey, though prediction-market pricing reflects broader midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party and trader assessment of Conley’s profile as a West Point graduate and national-security veteran. The race remains one of the more competitive House contests heading into November, with outcomes sensitive to turnout, national political conditions, and any late shifts in voter preference.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$9,592শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler faces Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th congressional district, a Hudson Valley swing seat that voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential race. Lawler advanced unopposed through the June 23 Republican primary after winning reelection by a narrow margin in 2024, while Conley prevailed in a crowded Democratic primary. Recent polling shows a tight contest with small leads for either candidate depending on the survey, though prediction-market pricing reflects broader midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party and trader assessment of Conley’s profile as a West Point graduate and national-security veteran. The race remains one of the more competitive House contests heading into November, with outcomes sensitive to turnout, national political conditions, and any late shifts in voter preference.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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