In Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, a D+1 battleground encompassing Bucks and parts of Montgomery County, trader consensus favors Democrats at 55% implied probability over Republicans at 42%, diverging from forecasters' Lean or Likely Republican ratings and a March Global Strategy Group poll showing incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick leading Bob Harvie 48%-42% among likely voters. With primaries five days away on May 19, Harvie dominates the Democratic nomination at 91% on prediction markets as Bucks County Commissioner, bolstered by national Democratic investments targeting this flippable seat amid the GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. Fitzpatrick holds a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $7 million cash-on-hand, but undecided voters, Harvie's local appeal, and midterm dynamics sustain Democratic optimism ahead of the November 3 general.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPA-01 House Election Winner
PA-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
48%
Republican Party
46%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$682 Vol.
48%
Republican Party
$1,022 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, a D+1 battleground encompassing Bucks and parts of Montgomery County, trader consensus favors Democrats at 55% implied probability over Republicans at 42%, diverging from forecasters' Lean or Likely Republican ratings and a March Global Strategy Group poll showing incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick leading Bob Harvie 48%-42% among likely voters. With primaries five days away on May 19, Harvie dominates the Democratic nomination at 91% on prediction markets as Bucks County Commissioner, bolstered by national Democratic investments targeting this flippable seat amid the GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. Fitzpatrick holds a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $7 million cash-on-hand, but undecided voters, Harvie's local appeal, and midterm dynamics sustain Democratic optimism ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,703শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, a D+1 battleground encompassing Bucks and parts of Montgomery County, trader consensus favors Democrats at 55% implied probability over Republicans at 42%, diverging from forecasters' Lean or Likely Republican ratings and a March Global Strategy Group poll showing incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick leading Bob Harvie 48%-42% among likely voters. With primaries five days away on May 19, Harvie dominates the Democratic nomination at 91% on prediction markets as Bucks County Commissioner, bolstered by national Democratic investments targeting this flippable seat amid the GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. Fitzpatrick holds a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $7 million cash-on-hand, but undecided voters, Harvie's local appeal, and midterm dynamics sustain Democratic optimism ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,703শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, a D+1 battleground encompassing Bucks and parts of Montgomery County, trader consensus favors Democrats at 55% implied probability over Republicans at 42%, diverging from forecasters' Lean or Likely Republican ratings and a March Global Strategy Group poll showing incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick leading Bob Harvie 48%-42% among likely voters. With primaries five days away on May 19, Harvie dominates the Democratic nomination at 91% on prediction markets as Bucks County Commissioner, bolstered by national Democratic investments targeting this flippable seat amid the GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. Fitzpatrick holds a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $7 million cash-on-hand, but undecided voters, Harvie's local appeal, and midterm dynamics sustain Democratic optimism ahead of the November 3 general.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা